MIT and Boston University's research report “Robots and Work: Evidence from the Labor Market†stated that the increase in the number of robots per 1,000 workers is one, the U.S. employment rate will drop by 18-35 percentage points, and the wages of workers will also increase. Decrease by 25-50 percentage points.
The report pointed out:
The influence of robots on employment is mainly in the manufacturing industry, such as assembly-type routine physical work, which is particularly significant for blue-collar workers and less educated workers.
From a geographical point of view, the region most affected by robots is the "rust zone" of the United States. The robot has taken 1,000 jobs from the United Auto Union (UAW).
In addition, the study also shows that in the past 20 years, 360,000-67,000 jobs in the United States have been taken away by robots. In the next 10 years, 3.5 million jobs will be taken away by robots, which will increase the unemployment rate in the United States by 2%. Today, the proportion of robots in the US automotive industry is 39%, and the proportions of robots in the electronics, metal products, and plastics chemicals industries are 19%, 9%, and 9%, respectively.
(Over the past 20 years, the number of robots per thousand workers has been increasing)
The rapid development of robots is not good news for Trump.
When Trump campaigned for the presidency, he promised to force U.S. companies to move manufacturing jobs and overseas factories back to the United States. Trump repeatedly stated earlier that he wants to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement so as to prevent U.S. factories and job opportunities from shifting out of the U.S. border. For US companies seeking to outsource production to overseas companies, Trump threatened to impose a 35% tariff.
Wall Street had previously heard that under Trump pressure, in January this year, Ford cancelled plans to invest 1.6 billion U.S. dollars in the construction of a new plant in Mexico, while expanding its production line in the United States. Fiat Chrysler announced that investing $1 billion in equipment and modernization upgrades for two US plants in the Midwest before 2020 will create 2,000 production-related jobs.
Although trade protectionism can help increase employment in the short term, the impact of robotics on the US job market may be troubling Mr. Trump.
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