Artificial intelligence bubble will break? The investment highlights of 2017 after the venture capital winter remain unchanged

    : Throughout 2016, both entrepreneurs and investors are in a confused state. In 2013 and 2014, O2O and smart hardware were investment hotspots. In 2015, there are also clear Internet finance and VR hotspots. But in 2016, the investment hotspots are very scattered and their vitality is not strong. The theme of fiery shared bicycle investment is not too imaginative. It can be described as “dull” throughout the year. The most fierce investment should be the concept of “capital winter”. .

    What will happen in 2017? The opinions of many investors are slightly warmer, and there may be relatively big changes in 2018. But where are the highlights of investment in key investment areas? The situation in 2017 is still not optimistic, and most investors still continue to be confused.

    The only concept of artificial intelligence that is recognized by most investment institutions is that investors have different opinions. Although everyone is long-term optimistic about artificial intelligence, but in the short term, many investors believe that the bubble will break and will enter the adjustment period, and the real outbreak has not come.

    In addition to artificial intelligence, consumption upgrades, internet finance, online education, industrial internet, and content entrepreneurship are also investment hotspots mentioned by various investment institutions.

    人工智能泡沫会破?创投寒冬后的2017年投资亮点依旧朦胧

    What happened in 2016?

    In the first half of the year, investment contracted and death rushed in the second half For 2016, some investment institutions believe that this is undoubtedly the winter, and some people gave a return to normal rationality.

    What is the real situation, the Zero2IPO Research Center's data on entrepreneurship and investment can be glimpsed into some truths.

    Zero2IPO Research Center once released the report on fundraising and investment data in the first half of 2016. The report shows that the number of investment cases in the first half of the year fell by 24.7% year-on-year, and the average single investment amount reached 138 million yuan, which was approximately 2015 years. The average annual investment is 2 times.

    Because the risk aversion in the equity investment market is heavier, the number of early investment cases and the amount of investment have “doubled down”. However, the "polarization" phenomenon in the investment phase has further aggravated. "Super Unicorn" ant gold suits, Didi Chuxing, Xinmei University and other companies have received huge amounts of financing, pushing up the average single investment amount.

    Looking at the whole year, the China Venture Capital Funds Fundraising was very active in 2016. In 2016, the fund's average fundraising scale was 674 million yuan, and the average amount raised reached the highest point in history.

    There is no shortage of money in the market, and money is still increasing. However, the average investment in China's venture capital market in 2016 has declined. In 2016, China's venture capital institutions began to pay more attention to value investment, and there appeared to be less balance between more money and more good projects.

    Will there be disruptive changes in 2017?

    Compared to 2016, the change in 2017 does not appear to be large, and disruptive opportunities have not yet emerged.

    Several investors, including Xu Geping, founding partner of Zhenge Fund, and Wu Shichun, founding partner of Meihua Angel, publicly stated that they expect that more money will enter the venture capital market as a whole in 2017, and that money will flow into the investment market in 2017. More than last year.

    Wu Shichun's explanation is that there will be several positive trends in 2017, and the first VC still has a lot of money; the second A-share market has accelerated the speed of listing IPO companies. In recent years, there will be some relatively large IPOs, such as the US Mission Review, iQIYI, or 360.

    Zhang Zhen, founding partner of Gaochun Capital, also acknowledged this view. He believes that investment will begin to pick up gradually in 2017, and the market as a whole should gradually assume a more active and steadily rising trend in 2017. There are a lot of money in the hands of investment institutions, and everyone is waiting for a better market environment and the emergence of investment targets.

    But where is the good investment target? In the key areas of investment, the situation in 2017 is still not optimistic.

    The assertion made by Huaxing Capital Inc. is that the venture capital industry has entered a relative bottleneck period from an innovation perspective. “Every time there is a disruptive innovation opportunity, the venture capital industry will have a so-called quotation, but looking at the future today, at least I have not seen the opportunity for exciting subversiveness in the next three years. Can also be accompanied by a relatively large business subversion opportunities."

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